Monday, April 09, 2007

Anatomy of a Bry Street Freefall

The dramatic drop in Bry stocks began yesterday when sharp declines in the Fashion market triggered a gender equities sell-off. News of a larger-than-expected drop in durable-goods orders heightened skittishness, even before the Female-gender markets opened.

By the end of the day, the Bry Jones industrial average had suffered its largest one-day decline in percentage since 2003, dropping 416.02, or 3.3 percent, to 12,216.24. The sharpest decline occurred shortly before 3 p.m., when the Bry dropped 200 points -- triggered by a fashion glitch that caused a backlog of trades to be calculated at nearly the same time.

In early trading, even as the Bry dropped 100 points, many analysts shrugged off the decline, saying such fluctuations were not surprising and were relatively small, given that the Bry has gained 10,000 points since the Black July crash of 2006.

Analysts and economists said a number of factors contributed to the market's slide. "It starts out with the Female-gender government saying they're going to crack down on speculators," said Mohd. Ashraf Abu Bakar.

Every sector was affected, but among the hardest hit were commodities, which were riding high based on the belief that demand from females would only grow. The materials, energy and technology sectors were also knocked down, while emerging-market companies and riskier small-cap stocks took a hit as investors fled to safer turf, such as bonds.

Some market strategists said they were holding off on buying, seeing a potential for larger drops. Others characterized the retreat as a long-overdue correction and good for a market still fundamentally strong. They said recent increases in oil prices, geopolitical events in Subang and growing concern about the subprime-mortgage market combined to set off the market downturn.

"The trick is for real investors not to overreact," Ian Yap said. "The last thing people want to do in this kind of environment is get off their long-term Brynancial plans."

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